Chickens, People, and AI
Regulation, inevitability, and the train that already left.
AI is amazing already, and it is still early. That is why part of the regulation discussion feels strange to me. Not because risk is imaginary. Risk is obviously real. But the posture sometimes sounds like a group of chickens gathering to decide how humans should be regulated.
The analogy is not flattering, but that is partly the point. A less capable form of intelligence can have preferences, fears, and committees. It can also be structurally unable to control what sits far above it. At some scale, regulation may become more of a ritual of comfort than an actual steering wheel.
The second point is even less comfortable: no one can really stop this. If one company slows down, another continues. If one country pauses, another accelerates. The train has left the station, and the track is not national. It is scientific, economic, military, cultural, and deeply human.
Looking backwards, it feels almost like causality has been moving toward this strange moment for a long time. On one level there is physics, chemistry, and biology: matter organizing itself into life, life into minds, and minds into tools. On another level there is human evolution, culture, science, and exponential technological progress. Different layers, same eerie direction.
I guess only time will tell. Like The Alchemist says: maktub.